Session #102 · 1991–93

Speech #1020025396

We will have to raise rates to 6.8. 7.5. 7.8. 7.9. 8.1 and that does meet the criterion for close actuary balance. This reflects the demographic changes that we anticipate will begin in about 30 years from now and will take place over the next 30 years. These are always best estimates of birth rates and immigration rates. and any actuary will tell you it is a demanding task and necessarily an imprecise one. but we know a lot more about this than we did 55 years ago. and never in those years have benefits been a day late or dollar short. But the Senator is correct. in the third decade of the next century. there will have to be a gradual increase.
Keywords matched
immigration

Classification

Target group
Sentiment
Neutral
Stereotyping
No
Confidence
80%
Model
gemini-2.0-flash
Framing
Legal / procedural

Speaker & context

Speaker
DANIEL MOYNIHAN
Party
D
Chamber
S
State
NY
Gender
M
Date
1991-04-23
Speech ID
1020025396
Paragraph
#0
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