With a clear denial of aid to the Contras. the Sandinistas only armed organized resistance. Nicaragua and the region will understand that we will be retreating to reliance on Nicaraguas goodwill. The exodus of people out of Nicaragua will continueover 10 percent of its population have already left presenting destabilizing refugee problems on Honduras and Costa Ricas doorstepthe subversion will continue. and the arms buildup in Nicaragua will increase. There will be talk of negotiations but the message to all will be clear: Heed Nicaraguas will on any agreement or solution. Contadoran or otherwise. or face immediate or prompt danger.